Skip to content

How Dependable Is ANE Chronology?

Ancient Near East (ANE) chronology is often presented as one of the most secure achievements of modern historical scholarship. The chronologies of Assyria, Egypt, and the Hebrew kingdoms have been refined over many decades by specialists working within their respective fields. As a result, many scholars regard the overall chronological framework as firmly established.

Yet a closer examination reveals an important distinction. Each chronological system appears reasonably coherent when examined largely within its own discipline. Difficulties arise when attempts are made to harmonize the Assyrian, Egyptian, and biblical timelines into a single unified chronology. At those points of intersection, inconsistencies emerge that suggest fundamental errors may exist within each system.

The question is not whether scholars have done careful work. They have. The question is whether certain foundational assumptions have been accepted without sufficient scrutiny.

The Assyrian Problem

The chronology of the Neo-Assyrian Empire rests heavily upon the Assyrian Eponym Canon and the identification of a solar eclipse mentioned during the eponymy of Bur-Sagale in the 10th year of Ashur‑dan III. In 1867, Henry Rawlinson identified this eclipse as the one that occurred in 763 BCE. Because the eponym lists provide a sequence of years, this identification served as a critical anchor for dating the entire Assyrian chronology.

However, the surviving inscription about the eclipse does not give enough information to uniquely identify the 763 BCE eclipse as the unquestioned eclipse event. It merely records that an eclipse took place during the eponymy of Bur-Sagale in the month Sivan. The traditional identification with the eclipse of 763 BCE is therefore an interpretation rather than a statement found in the text itself.

An alternative identification exists. The eclipse of 791 BCE also satisfies all of the requirements of the inscription and provides a viable chronological anchor. If the Bur-Sagale eclipse is identified with 791 BCE rather than 763 BCE, the Assyrian timeline shifts by twenty-eight years.

Within Assyriology, the traditional interpretation appears convincing because it seems to fit the accepted framework. Yet when the resulting Assyrian chronology is compared with Egyptian and biblical chronology, significant tensions emerge. These tensions suggest that the eclipse identification itself deserves renewed examination.

If the eclipse of 791 BCE is the correct identification, then using it as the anchor date removes much of the chronological conflict between Assyrian and biblical history.

The Egyptian Problem

Egyptian chronology presents a similar situation. The generally accepted chronology identifies the biblical Shishak with Pharaoh Shoshenq I. This identification was proposed by Jean‑François Champollion in 1829, a year after his only expedition to Egypt and examination of the reliefs at Karnak, which commemorate a military campaign into Canaan during the reign of Shoshenq I. Champollion’s identification was enthusiastically endorsed by biblical scholars, and it is almost universally accepted as “fact” in modern academia.

The difficulty arises because the biblical account appears to describe an invasion of Jerusalem during the fifth year of Rehoboam, whereas the campaign depicted at Karnak, traditionally and correctly dated to 925 BCE, does not mention Jerusalem at all. Despite such an important omission, scholars have nevertheless assumed that the biblical invasion and the Karnak campaign were one and the same event.

Yet the evidence points to two separate invasions rather than one. According to this interpretation, the first invasion occurred in 961 BCE when Shishak, later known as Shoshenq I, was serving as commander of the Egyptian army. This earlier campaign corresponds to the biblical events associated with the early reign of Rehoboam in the years immediately following the death of Solomon, before united Israel divided into the separate kingdoms of Israel and Judah. A second invasion occurred in 925 BCE after Shoshenq I became pharaoh. This later campaign is the one memorialized on the Karnak reliefs.

When these two invasions are conflated into a single event, chronological difficulties inevitably arise. The Egyptian chronology appears sound within its own framework, but the interaction between Egypt and the biblical record becomes problematic. Recognizing two separate invasions resolves these difficulties and allows the Egyptian and biblical records to complement rather than contradict one another.

The Biblical Problem

The chronology of the Hebrew kings presents perhaps the most significant example of the problem. For generations, scholars have relied heavily upon the work of Edwin Thiele in reconstructing the chronology of Israel and Judah. Thiele’s work, set forth in his Mysterious Numbers of the Hebrew Kings in 1951, was a remarkable achievement and remains influential today. His system was developed with the goal of harmonizing the biblical record with the accepted Assyrian chronology.

Because the Assyrian framework was assumed by Thiele to be the more authoritative, the biblical data had to be adjusted wherever a seeming conflict appeared. This process required numerous assumptions, especially involving undocumented co-regencies and textual corruption introduced by unknown scribes within the biblical record itself. The practical result was that the biblical chronology was compressed into a shorter time span than the biblical text itself appears to allow.

Many scholars who strongly affirm biblical inerrancy nevertheless accept the Thiele system, despite the fact that it treats portions of the biblical record as less reliable than Assyrian data and thereby negates the numerous internal cross-checks designed to ensure the accuracy of the sacred text. In effect, the Bible becomes subordinate to the secular Assyrian framework.

This approach raises an important question for Bible scholars: If the biblical chronology is inspired Scripture, should it not be given equal or greater weight when chronological conflicts arise? If that assumption is made, and the Assyrian chronology is corrected by identifying the Bur-Sagale eclipse with 791 BCE rather than 763 BCE, the need for many of Thiele’s adjustments disappears. The biblical regnal data can then be read more naturally and coherently, producing a chronology that preserves the integrity of the scriptural record while aligning with both the adjusted Assyrian and Egyptian timelines.

The Importance of Harmonization

The central issue is not whether Assyrian chronology, Egyptian chronology, or biblical chronology is entirely wrong. Each contains valuable information and exhibits substantial internal consistency. The problem emerges when the three systems are compared. A chronology that works only within the boundaries of a single discipline cannot be considered fully dependable. A correct ANE chronology must harmonize all available evidence. Assyrian records, Egyptian records, and biblical records all describe the same historical world. Therefore, they should ultimately fit together within a single coherent timeline.

When the Bur-Sagale eclipse is identified with 791 BCE, when the two campaigns of Shishak/Shoshenq I are recognized, and when the biblical chronology is allowed to stand on its own terms rather than being compressed to fit Assyrian assumptions, a remarkable result emerges. The Assyrian, Egyptian, and Hebrew chronologies align. Instead of competing chronological systems requiring continual adjustment and explanation, a unified framework appears in which the records from all three civilizations support one another. Such harmonization is precisely what one would expect if the historical evidence has been correctly interpreted.

The dependability of ANE chronology, therefore, depends not merely upon the accuracy of individual chronological systems, but upon their ability to function together as a coherent whole. Until that goal is achieved, the chronology of the Ancient Near East should remain open to careful reconsideration. That being the case, consider the following attempt at harmonization as a starting point for that re-examination …

Published inArticlesChronology